Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 1.864633 2.031259 2.208670 2.412071 2.639370 2.886175 3.175266
2026-01-18 1.635037 1.866067 2.126839 2.444724 2.824103 3.265281 3.821409
2026-01-25 1.473204 1.738670 2.051305 2.450172 2.950567 3.564319 4.384635
2026-02-01 1.326708 1.606340 1.946586 2.396416 2.983588 3.735521 4.790365
2026-02-08 1.218488 1.507285 1.868499 2.360807 3.025914 3.910601 5.206681
2026-02-15 1.136929 1.433157 1.812800 2.344501 3.085539 4.106157 5.663081
2026-02-22 1.092905 1.402934 1.809754 2.394913 3.236002 4.435634 6.342689
2026-03-01 1.031932 1.344890 1.763759 2.379985 3.289393 4.626298 6.829960
2026-03-08 0.971444 1.283030 1.707403 2.344379 3.306929 4.761342 7.239902
2026-03-15 0.903766 1.206904 1.625811 2.265249 3.251049 4.775892 7.450301
2026-03-22 0.870045 1.176381 1.606698 2.276218 3.332300 5.010650 8.054930
2026-03-29 0.845788 1.157702 1.603035 2.309274 3.449291 5.311636 8.808869
2026-04-05 0.821035 1.137557 1.596825 2.339217 3.565849 5.626790 9.638216
2026-04-12 0.796190 1.115863 1.586858 2.362225 3.672411 5.934714 10.496458
2026-04-19 0.768557 1.088381 1.566200 2.366036 3.745812 6.189646 11.284388
2026-04-26 0.729948 1.042252 1.514021 2.314336 3.718113 6.256319 11.694558
2026-05-03 0.698275 1.005242 1.474099 2.280201 3.718116 6.373270 12.224467
2026-05-10 0.672923 0.976848 1.446305 2.264580 3.749702 6.552483 12.914051
2026-05-17 0.662789 0.971781 1.455551 2.312852 3.901922 6.982210 14.234829
2026-05-24 0.640482 0.946300 1.430112 2.298558 3.934969 7.174556 15.028525
2026-05-31 0.615662 0.915734 1.394793 2.264462 3.927150 7.281046 15.628721
2026-06-07 0.584320 0.873415 1.338067 2.188667 3.832601 7.195618 15.734093
2026-06-14 0.570877 0.859812 1.329035 2.199176 3.909374 7.485644 16.854849